2 Apr 2016
It’s time again for my annual attempt to predict the baseball season. As always, use this with caution! For fun, after I finished my attempt at this, I tabulated the ESPN “experts’ picks and added them to the bottom of each section.
1- Blue Jays- Yes, they lost Price, but they got Stroman back at the end of last year and he went 4-0 down the stretch. The bullpen has been upgraded and the lineup is probably the best in the league. I think they could win 90-plus again easily and they will take the division.
2- Red Sox- Yes, they got Price, but he can’t start every day and that could be a problem. Lucky for them they have some nice young hitters and a revamped bullpen. They will contend for a Wild Card.
3- Yankees- I can’t see enough going right for this team to contend seriously. The bullpen has a sexier name at the top, but how much better can Chapman-Miller-Betances be than Miller-Betances-Wilson were in 2015? Betting on age is the other problem here as there are too many old players still clogging the roster. But, the Yankees are getting younger and smarter. Next year we should see over half the lineup under 30. For now, we will have to be content with another consecutive season over .500.
4- Rays- Honestly you could pick the final two spots out of a hat, but I really like Tampa’s pitching. Chris Archer looks like one of the best pitchers in the game and with Matt Moore back and healthy, that is a formidable 1-2 punch.
5- Baltimore- I’m just not feeling it, but I still love Charm City and Boog’s BBQ.
ESPN Experts picked: Blue Jays (19), Red Sox (8), Yankees (2), Rays (2)
1- Royals- All hail the champions and I think they continue to reign in the division.
2- Cleveland- Love the pitching, worried about the hitting, but I think they have enough to get into a Wild Card game.
3- Detroit- Still can mash with the best of them, and Wilson and Rodriguez will make that a solid bullpen.
4- Minnesota- Sano and Buxton are two of the most exciting young players in the game. I’m also really looking forward to seeing Byung Ho-Park and how his 50+-homer power in Korea translates to the states.
5- Chicago- Call it the curse of Adam LaRoche. I still don’t know why that all blew up the way it did, but it is a bad omen for the 2016 White Sox.
ESPN Experts Picked Royals (15), Cleveland (11) Detroit (3) Minnesota (2)
1- Houston- Correa is going to give the rest of the AL fits for a long time. Add in Keuchel, a better bullpen and some other young hitters and you have a really good team.
2- Texas- Remember that they were a bat flip away from winning the ALDS and they will be getting Yu Dravish back shortly.
3-Anaheim- Best player in the game, and a revitalized Pujols. They are dangerous, but not enough to make the playoffs.
4- Seattle- Did you see that Jesus Montero was released? (He is now a Blue Jay) The search for offense in the Pacific Northwest continues.
5- Oakland- The rebuild continues, but don’t bet against them being back on top very soon.
ESPN Experts Picked Houston (21), Texas (10)
1-Mets- Think of the pitching they had last year and then remember that they get Zack Wheeler back this year. Yikes. Neil Walker was an underrated pickup. They are primed to repeat atop the NL East.
2- Washington- Not sure what went wrong last year, but the manager has walked the plank and Dusty Baker, a great manager, is in charge. The second best player on the planet should headline a deep and dangerous team that could go very far.
3- Miami- This division is very top-heavy in my mind. You could have the first two teams easily win 90+ and the bottom three struggle to win 70. I picked Miami for third because I like some of their young hitters, but it wouldn’t shock me to see Atlanta here.
4- Atlanta- The new ballpark and rebuilt team are works in progress, but you can see the foundations being laid.
5- Philadelphia- They didn’t know when to quit and will have a long road back from oblivion.
ESPN Experts Picked Washington (16), Mets (15)
1- Chicago- Dare I say it? Ok, they are the best team in baseball. The playoffs are always a crapshoot, but for the regular season they reign supreme.
2- Pittsburgh- Whenever I hear a Pirates fan complain about three-straight wild card spots and three-striaght eliminations, I want to point out a few things. First, you could only dream of that five years ago. Second, win the damn division! 162 games matters and the division champs get the advantages they have earned.
3- Cardinals- Always dangerous and always in contention, but this year I think they are outclassed.
4- Milwaukee- Another coin-flip pick for me. I could put the Reds here, or the Brewers.
5- Cincinnati- See above.
ESPN Experts Picked Chicago (27), St. Louis (3), Pittsburgh (1)
1- Giants- Remember it is an even year and that means they win. Also, they are very good.
2- Dodgers- Immensely talented, but they can’t seem to put it all together- ever.
3- Arizona- Greinke will help a lot, but they aren’t there yet. Pollock injury is devastating.
4- Padres- They are accumulating a lot of young assets and were smart to pull the 180 they did last year.
5- Colorado- Tough break trading Jose Reyes for their most popular player. They won’t threaten this year.
ESPN Experts Picked Giants (20), Arizona (7), Dodgers (4)
Wild Card- Texas over Cleveland
ALDS- Kansas City over Texas and Houston over Toronto
ALCS- Houston over Kansas City
ESPN Experts Picked Houston (9), Toronto (8), Royals (8), Boston (4), Cleveland (1), Texas (1)
Wild Card Washington over Pittsburgh
NLDS Chicago over Washington and San Francisco over Mets
NLCS Chicago over San Francisco
ESPN Experts Picked Chicago (19), Giants (6), Mets (3), Washington (3)
Get ready to head to the bunker- Cubs over Houston in six games!
ESPN Experts Picked Chicago (14), Toronto (4), Royals (4), Houston (2), Giants (2), Mets (2), Texas (1), Washington (1)