YankeesRedSox.com http://yankeesredsox.com two different perspectives on the greatest rivalry in sports Wed, 19 Jul 2017 16:03:09 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.7.5 46345875 Didn’t Notice-UPDATED http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/19/didnt-notice/ http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/19/didnt-notice/#comments Wed, 19 Jul 2017 14:17:44 +0000 http://yankeesredsox.com/?p=4234 Fascinating piece on Si.com today about how the Yankees are deliberately throwing the least amount of fastballs in the big leagues this year. The basic premise is that fastballs, even really good ones, get hit more than other pitches, and the data backs that up.

Here’s the thing that really shocked me, the Yankees are only throwing fastballs about 43% of the time. If you had asked me to guess their fastball usage. I probably would have said at least 60% and probably closer to 70%. I simply hadn’t noticed this change. It’s a good article, and well worth your time. I’m going to start paying more attention to the little things!
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Keep an eye on the roster moves the Yankees make today because they will tell us a lot about how the new players will be used, and how the rotation will be shaped going forward.

With the addition of three big leaguers and the Subtraction of one from the roster, two moves have to be made. I would assume the Yankees will send a pitcher and a hitter to the minors as that would leave them with the same roster composition as before the trade. The hitter will almost certainly be either Choi or Cooper. If it is Choi, you might see the Yankees use Frazier at first against RHP and move him to third against LHP with Cooper moving to first. Headley has a .534 OPS abs LHP, so this would make sense. If Choi stays and Cooper goes, then I would assume Frazier is pretty much the everyday firstbaseman.

As for the pitchers it will almost certainly be Cessa or Smith sent down. The Yankees chose to keep Smith around and demote Mitchell yesterday, so maybe they are seriously considering letting him replace Pineda. Cessa didn’t look very good yesterday, so the Yankees might want to try something new.

UPDATE- I wasn’t thinking about the 40-man roster and the need to clear space on that too. So the Yankees DFA’ed Choi and Rob Refsnyder while sending Chason Shreve to the minors.

Choi is not a shock at all. Refsnyder shows how crowded the 40-man is becoming and reinforces why trading Clarkin is probably for the best. I’m surprised that Shreve was the guy to get sent down because he has been pretty good this year. But as I think more about it, Cessa or Smith are the only “long” guys in the pen, so the Yankees probably want them both around for now.

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A Big Trade-UPDATING http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/18/a-big-trade-updating/ http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/18/a-big-trade-updating/#comments Wed, 19 Jul 2017 02:52:11 +0000 http://yankeesredsox.com/?p=4224 10:37pm We don’t have anything official, but the Yankees are apparently getting David Robertson, Todd Frazier, and Tommy Kahnle from Chicago. The return package is Blake Rutherford, Ian Clarkin, and perhaps more.

Let’s break this down piece by piece.

Robertson is clearly a name we know and he has pretty much done what he did here, in Chicago. Adding him back to the bullpen gives the Yankees a lot of firepower at the back of the pen, but at a big price.

Frazier is a pending free agent who can play first or third and has a .214 BABIP, which suggests his .207 average is a fluke. He has a .328 OBP and a .432 slugging, so he is a much better option at first tha what the Yankees have tired so far and he could shift to third if they traded Headley. (That wouldn’t be a shock right now.)

Kahnle is a former Yankee farm hand who they lost to the Rule 5 draft after 2013. It’s all clicked for him this year and he isn’t a free agent until 2021.

Rutherford is the prize going back, but he is only in single A and the Yankees have a ton of outfield prospects/ young guys. Rutherford is projected to be a corner guy, so I can’t kill them for trading him when you consider the wealth they have in the corners right now.

Clarkin was a first round pick in 2013, but he is still in A ball and would need to be protected on the 40-man this offseason. I don’t think the Yankees would want to do that, so this isn’t a loss.

10:50pm- Tyler Clippard is apparently part of the trade which really isn’t a loss at all.

11:02pm- The Yankees are sending a fourth player to Chicago according to reports.

11:10- Think about the potential bullpen choices if this happens. Kahnle, Green, Warren, Robertson, Betances, and Chapman. Wow

11:24- Not sure how to quantify this, but I would bet anything that if D-Rob comes home, Betances moves to the 7th inning. That would diminish his earning potential in arbitration next year which has to factor in this trade.

11:55- Both the Yankees and White Sox have finished their games. Not sure why a trade hasn’t been announced at this point.

12:04- The trade is official! What I said above, plus Tito Polo, a guy the Yankees acquired for Ivan Nova in addition.

This is the type of trade I can handle from the Yankees. Rutherford may turn out to be awesome, but he isn’t considered a center fielder by the Yankees and they hope that Judge and Clint Frazier are going to lock down the corners for years to come. Clarkin is not a guy the Yankees have roster room for, so he is a sunk cost. Polo may be the best of the bunch, but again, the Yankees have a lot of guys ahead of him on the depth chart. Clippard is a salary dump.

In exchange the Yankees have two huge bullpen assets for this year and next, plus Frazier for rest of the year at first. At the very least, this should solidify their wild card chances. At best, they are now contenders for the division.

I won’t go that far, but for a big market team, this is a solid trade. They’ve improved the team this year and next, but havent subtracted from the immmediate future. Perhaps they regret this in 2020, but that means that Judge and Clint Frazier didn’t pan out.

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Symmetry http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/18/symmetry/ http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/18/symmetry/#respond Tue, 18 Jul 2017 21:47:02 +0000 http://yankeesredsox.com/?p=4222 The Yankees have played 91 games and as Jack Curry pointed out, look what happens if you slice the season into thirds with the extra game in the middle

1/3- 21 and 9
2/3- 17 and 14
3/3- 9 and 21

If you take the middle part, 17-14, that equals an 88-win pace over 162 games. That’s a tad higher than I thought they were capable of in March, but only by a few wins. For the whole season, they are on pace for about 84-wins, right about where I thought they would end up. The key to me is that 21-9 seems more of an outlier than the other 61 games. I hope the front office agrees.

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The Word on Bird http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/17/the-word-on-bird/ http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/17/the-word-on-bird/#respond Mon, 17 Jul 2017 23:21:39 +0000 http://yankeesredsox.com/?p=4218 The Yankees announced that Greg Bird is going to have surgery tomorrow and there is a six-week rehab afterwards. If everything went well, that would put him back on a baseball field right before Labor Day. The minor league regular season usually ends right around then. so there is little room for him to be able to return and get into rehab games.

And that’s clearly the goal here. Joe Girardi has this to say: “It’s really tough to get on track when you’ve missed basically two whole years. Hopefully he can get some at-bats before the end of the year.”

For now, the Yankees appear to be willing to try a platoon with Choi and Cooper. That’s not an optimal idea for a team with only four bench players, so I wouldn’t expect it to be the ultimate solution. The Yankees will probably look pretty hard at the trade market for first baseman.

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Split Decision http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/16/split-decision/ http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/16/split-decision/#respond Mon, 17 Jul 2017 03:32:43 +0000 http://yankeesredsox.com/?p=4215 Considering how the series started, escaping Boston with a split of the series seems a victory. Granted, expectations are low, before yesterday/today the Yankees had gone over a month since they last won consecutive games.

To me the biggest takeaway from this series is the quality of the starting pitching. Montgomery bended, but did not break. Severino was great. Ditto that for Sabathia and Tanaka. If they can collectively keep doing that, the Yankees will be a force in the second half, no matter who the fifth starter is.

And while Tanaka lost tonight, you can’t emphasize enough how big that start was. 7-2/3rd innings was exactly what a depleted bullpen needed. With tomorrow’s starter still TBD! the Yankees are going to need a full bullpen, and they should have close to that when they land in Minnesota.

2-2 coming out of Boston and seven games left on the road trip. This week will determine a lot.

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Pray for Rain-UPDATED AFTER GAME 1 http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/16/pray-for-rain/ http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/16/pray-for-rain/#comments Sun, 16 Jul 2017 12:36:33 +0000 http://yankeesredsox.com/?p=4207 The Yankees pulled out a victory by the skin of their teeth on Saturday. A dramatic homer in the ninth followed by some nifty escapes in extras, and a bizarre play at first, gave the Yankees a sixteen-inning victory. Now they get to play a doubleheader!

Expect some big roster changes. The Yankees have already announced that CC Sabathia, and not Bryan Mitchell, will start this afternoon. Mitchell will almost certainly be recalled for depth. Luis Cessa hasn’t been down in the minors long enough to be recalled without injury, but the 26-man rule for doubleheaders lets the Yankees get around that. I would expect them to add a third pitcher as the bullpen is a mess right now. It wouldn’t shock me to see Chad Green as the closer today. And if the Yankees have to pitch a lot of bullpen innings today, tomorrow will be really interesting as the scheduled starter already is “TBD”.

UPDATE-Three new pitchers it is. Mitchell is the 26th man, Domingo German and Caleb Smith promoted from AAA. I suspect Cessa will start tomorrow and is on a plane to Minnesota. The interesting thing is that they opened a 40-man spot for Smith, a late bloomer who has had a nice year at AAA. I wonder if they are going to look at him as a possible Pineda replacement?

UPDATE- Cessa is starting Tuesday, so tomorrow is still TBD. I wonder if the Yankees are going to see if Caleb Smith pitches in game 1 today, and if not get him on an evening flight to Minnesota?

UPDATE- The Yankees have now won consecutive games for the first time since June 11th/12th. Getting six innings out of CC was huge as they only used the bullpen for three.

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Ugh http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/15/ugh-5/ http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/15/ugh-5/#comments Sat, 15 Jul 2017 12:41:02 +0000 http://yankeesredsox.com/?p=4204 That’s all I have to say about that.

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Pineda’s Done http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/14/pinedas-done/ http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/14/pinedas-done/#comments Fri, 14 Jul 2017 16:33:59 +0000 http://yankeesredsox.com/?p=4201 Michael Pineda has a partial UCL tear and is headed to the DL. The recommendation is Tommy John surgery, but considering he is a free agent after this year, I imagine he will seek out a second or third opinion to try and avoid that. Either way, this almost certainly marks the end of his Yankee career. He wil, finish it with a record of 31-31 and an ERA of 4.16. He was brilliant at times and terrible at others. Considring what happened to Jesus Montero after he left NY, the Yankees won the trade, but it doesn’t really feel like it.

In the long run, this injury could actually help the Yankees. I don’t think there was any way they would have brought Pineda back next year, so now they get a jump on filling his spot in the 2018 rotation. For now, Brian Mitchell is getting the ball, but I suspect the Yankees will promote Chance Adams in the near future.
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The Yankees also announced that Greg Bird has two options. First is another cortisone shot, the second is surgery. If he has surgery, it is a 6 to 8 week recovery, so he could be back theoretically in September. The Yankees will bring Garret Cooper up to play first this weekend. Stay tuned.
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The Yankees are saying they will be “careful buyers” at the trade deadline, but I think this road trip will actually be the deciding factor. Eleven games in ten days with a cross-country trip included. This could go really badly and if they limo back home off of a 4-7 or 3-8 trip, o would expect that they quickly become “careful sellers”.
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Give the Red Isc credit for owning up to a huge mistake today. They DFA’ed Pablo Sandoval, meaning they are going to pay him about $50-million for nothing over the next few years. I suspect the Yankees will reach a similar point with Jacoby Ellsbury in the future, and I hope they have the guts to do the same thing.

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We Have A Trade http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/13/we-have-a-trade/ http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/13/we-have-a-trade/#comments Thu, 13 Jul 2017 17:51:13 +0000 http://yankeesredsox.com/?p=4193 According to Ken Rosenthal, the Yankees have traded Tyler Webb to the Brewers and according to Jon Herman the player they are getting in return is Garrett Cooper.

Cooper is a 26-year old righty who has hit .305 in his Minor league career with plenty of power. He is tearing up AAA this year at .366/.428/.652 but those numbers need to be viewed carefully because of his age, the fact that the PCL is an offense-heavy league, and that he plays his home games in Colorado.

And here’s the catch, Cooper is primarily a first baseman, so this doesn’t bode well for Greg Bird. The Yankees wouldn’t make a trade for a firstbaseman at the expense of a bullpen piece at this point unless they thought Bird was going to be hurt for the year. Bird went to the doctor Monday, but the Yankees have not announced anything about the visit. This makes me think the visit didn’t go well.

On the plus side. Cooper has shown a lot in the minors, so he deserved a shot in the bigs. The Brewers have Thames and Aguilar, so they weren’t going to give him one. The Yankees clearly needed help at first and got it. Cooper should help, but despite the gaudy stats, he won’t help as much as a healthy Bird could have.

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Who Ordered The Code Red? http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/07/who-ordered-the-code-red/ http://yankeesredsox.com/2017/07/07/who-ordered-the-code-red/#comments Fri, 07 Jul 2017 15:25:46 +0000 http://yankeesredsox.com/?p=4187 If there is anyone among the New York baseball writers who could speak to the ghost of George Steinbrenner, Bill Madden would be the guy. He always had a close relationship with the boss and his piece this morning really makes you wonder if he can communicate beyond the grave. Consider this section about Greg Bird.

Much as the Torres and Fowler injuries were downright heartbreaking, the Bird mystery ankle bruise has become merely annoying. Despite numerous tests that have turned up nothing, Bird continues to insist the ankle is still sore — too sore to allow him to play. The Yankee brass has become exasperated with Bird, who’s never been able to stay healthy, and it has gotten to the point where if he doesn’t get back on the field after the All-Star break, they are prepared to move him over the winter.

So The Yankees are threatening to trade Bird if he doesn’t start to play by next week? That’s interesting, almost as interesting as these quotes:

“You really have to wonder what’s with this guy,” a Yankee insider complained to me earlier this week. “You’d think with Judge and Sanchez, the guys he came up through the system with, doing so well up here he’d want to be a part of this. Apparently not.”

That’s classic George reasoning there. The guy is obviously faking the injury and doesn’t want to play hurt, so the Yankees should send him packing.

But assuming Madden can’t communicate with the dead, who would have made these quotes? O can’t prove it, but I would bet a fairly sizable amount that it is Randy Levine.

Levine likes to talk tough and channel George. He was the guy in February who ripped Delin Betances after beating him in arbitration. Does this seem any different?

It’s also stupid and somewhat ironic. It was in 2015 that Mark Teixeira’s broken leg was not diasgnosed by doctors for weeks. In the interim, the Yankees called up Greg Bird and he dazzled them with 11 homers over the final 46 games of the season. He also got one of the three hits the Yankees managed in their Wild Card game loss to Houston. But 2016 was wiped out by shoulder surgery and 2017 has been a disaster. Bird is still just 24 and giving up on him because of injuries at this point is nuts.

Luckily, Hal listens to Cashman on personnel issues and not Levine. Randy would do well to remember that the Boss’ bombastic ways and impetuous decisions didn’t win any titles after an initial flurry of success. It was his suspension in 1990 and the rebuilding of the farm system under Gene Michael that led to the dynasty teams of the 1990’s.

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