Red Sox

Red Sox Overhaul

In the 2 days leading up to MLB’s trade deadline, the Red Sox traded away 4 pitchers and one bat.

The Red Sox unloaded 60% of their opening day starting rotation, they unloaded a great situational lefty and they unloaded an overpaid shortstop. If you go back a full week they have unloaded 80% of their starting rotation as they also moved Jake Peavy.

Let’s start with the starters. In Jon Lester they got rid of the ace of their staff and in return received Yoenis Cespedes. Cespedes has great right-handed power, but little plate discipline and hits for a poor average, he is very good in the outfield however. Because they only control Cespedes through 2015, I don’t think the Red Sox got enough in return for Lester, especially when you consider all the work they’re going to need to do to be competitive in 2015. Cespedes could just walk after 2015, basically 1.4 year rental.

The Red Sox also moved John Lackey to the St. Louis Cardinals exchange for Allen Craig and Joe Kelly. Craig is having one of his worst seasons as a major leaguer and has a .437 OPS over the past 28 days. Joe Kelly’ has been working out of the bullpen although has made starts in his career, but I’m not sure he fits in the Red Sox rotation. Craig will also struggle to find a position unless the Res Sox out him in left and Cespedes in right.

For Felix Doubront, whom they traded yesterday, the Red Sox are receiving a player to be named later.

In return for trading Andrew Miller to the Orioles, the Red Sox received another left-hander I know nothing about but who is considered the O’s 3rd best prospect.

Lastly, and what I considered to be their best trade, they traded Stephen Drew to the Yankees in exchange for Kelly Johnson. A pure salary dump. The best part about this trade is that it allows the Xander Bogaerts to move back to shortstop. Apparently the Red Sox are sending money to NY to even up the money, and because Johnson is on the DL, he might turn out to be a player to be named later.

Where Cespedes will play, where Craig will play, and if Kelly Johnson will play, all remain a mystery. One thing is for sure, the Red Sox are done for 2014 and are clearly looking ahead. But given some of the veterans they acquired, it seems like they’re trying to make a run for next year but I really don’t think they can rebuild the starting rotation that quickly.

They do have a logjam of starting pitching prospects in the minors so they will probably end up packaging a few of those to get established major-league pitchers for the rotation for 2015.

For the rest of this year I see an infield of Napoli at first base, Pedroia at second base, Middlebrooks at third-base, and Xander Bogaerts at shortstop. In the outfield I like to see Craig in left field, Bradley in center, and Cespedes in right. With Vasquez catching and Ortiz DH.

Trade Deadline Blog-Updated

I figured I would get things started a bit earlier than usual on what is an annual tradition. Plus, we have a big deal. The Red Sox have sent Jon Lester  and Gomes to Oakland for Cespedes and a competitive balance pick.

I think you evaluate this trade when you see where Lester ends up after the season. If he signs back in Boston, this is a great move by them. If he doesn’t, I don’t like this move much. Cespedes hits home runs, but he doesn’t get on base and his average leaves much to be desired. His defense is excellent, so there’s that, but his speed has disappeared. Plus, he is only signed through 2015, so they are getting a player they control for a long time. It’s not a terrible return for a guy who is an impending free agent, but I don’t understand why the Red Sox didn’t sign Lester to an extension. I also think Lester is much more likely to go somewhere else this offseason now. He won’t have the draft pick attached to him and he will get big, and I mean big, offers.

Now, if I were the Yankees, I would look at the rotation Oakland has put together and think twice about trying to win the World Series this year. Nothing is decided in July, but on paper that is a heck of a pitching staff.

More as news happens.

12:41pm- Jon Heyman reporting the Red Sox have traded John Lackey to the Cardinals for a “pitcher and a position player”.

12:44pm- Meanwhile, John Danks is warming up to make his start for Chicago. He had been a name mentioned in a lot of trade rumors.

12;49pm- Red Sox getting Joe Kelly and Allen Craig for Lackey

12:46pm- Joel Sherman points out the Red Sox have now traded three of the guys who started games in the 2013 World Series for them.

12:50pm- Craig is an interesting bet by Boston. He is hitting a lot more ground balls than he did before 2014, but his line drive rate is still good.

2:38pm- Reports are that the Rays are “close” to trading David Price. No word yet on where he is headed.

2:56pm- Jon Morosi reporting that trade of Andrew Miller to Detroit has “fallen apart”

3:03pm- Multiple sources say Miller is going to Baltimore.

3:11pm- Orioles sending Eduardo Rodriguez, a 22-year old lefty from AA to Boston.

3:15pm- To the shock of no one, Ken Rosenthal is reporting there is “no chance” the Yankees get David Price.

3:26pm- Yankees have claimed Esmil Rogers off of waivers and released Scott Sizemore. The pennant is ours!

3:29pm- I have to digress here, but the point of Moneyball wasn’t the idea that OBP is the secret to winning baseball, it was that OBP was incredibly undervalued by baseball people. The Moneyball guys realized that once everyone caught on, OBP would become overvalued and they moved on to other things. Right now, the “Moneyball” secret seems to be prospects. Teams are putting tremendous values on them. Anyway, back to the deadline.

3:33pm- Reports are David Price trade will be a three-team trade. No names or teams yet. Joel Sherman reports he will be traded and has heard Seattle and Detroit as possible teams.

3:36pm- Jason Stark reporting the Yankees are “out” on Marlon Byrd.

3:43pm- This is interesting, Gordon Edes is reporting that Steven Drew is headed to the Yankees. This would be the first trade between the clubs since Mike Stanley I believe. In that trade, the Yankees have up Tony Armas, Jr., a key piece in the Red Sox’s trade for Pedro.

3:44pm- Buster Olney confirming the report of Drew.

3:46pm- Can’t imagine the Yankees gave up anything of value for a guy hitting .176. Bigger question on Drew is where exactly is he going to play? Last I checked, the Yankees filled their hole at third and have a shortstop. So maybe second?

3:48pm- Rosenthal reports David Price is headed to Detroit.

3:50pm- Yankees send “top prospect” Kelly Johnson to Boston for Drew. Advice to Boston, ask him to leave his glove in New York.

3:51pm- This is almost like if DiMaggio had been traded for Williams!

3:54pm- In all seriousness, I don’t think Kelly Johnson can be traded as he is on the DL so I think the trade will be PTBNL for Drew. Either way, this is a salary dump by Boston as Johnson makes $3-million and Drew makes $10-million

3:55pm- Jon Heyman reporting Austin Jackson and Drew Smyly are in Price trade. Seattle is the third team, but who is going where is unclear.

3:57pm- Austin Jackson was in a game and had to be removed because of Price trade.

3:58pm- Ken Rosenthal reports Austin Jackson to Seattle, Nick Franklin to Tampa and Smyly to Tampa as well. Also, the Phillies will not be making a trade today.

4:03pm- So this probably means Max Scherzer and Jon Lester will be free agents after this season.

4:06pm- Buster Olney points out the last three AL Cy Young winners are now in the same rotation (Verlander, Price, Scherzer)

4:08pm- Jon Heyman says Seattle is only trading Nick Franklin to Tampa as part of the Price trade. The rest of the players are coming from Detroit.

4:11pm- Jack Curry reporting the Yankees have acquired Martin Prado from Arizona.

4:13pm- Heyman confirms Prado move. Have to figure this is the end of Brian Roberts.

4:16pm- Curious as to what the Yankees gave up for Prado. He is signed through 2016 at $11-million per.

4:19pm- Yankees reportedly trading Peter O’Brien for Prado. Not sure I like that, but need to think about it a bit.

4:22pm-Yankees are getting cash from Boston for the Drew trade.

4:26pm- So thinking a bit more about Prado. Besides 2014 position question, where does he play in 2015 and 2016?

4:29pm- I’m ok with the O’Brien trade. 33HR’s in A/AA this year, but reportedly huge holes in his swing. 20BB/106K’s this year confirm that.

So, I think that’s it. A more exciting trade deadline than last year that’s for sure. Andy will be sharing his thoughts on the Red Sox moves shortly and I will recap the Yankees’ moves tomorrow.

4:40pm- One last update, Mark Feinsand reports that Brian Roberts will be DFA’ed.

The Red Sox New Beginning?

It’s being reported that the Red Sox have traded Felix Doubront. There are also rumors of them entertaining offers for Jon Lester and John Lackey.

I can understand trading Doubront as he seems to be a bit of a malcontent. But moving both Lester and Lackey, your respective one and two starters, means the Red Sox are apparently in overhaul mode.

Today ESPN’s Buster Olney wrote that he hopes the Red Sox have a Plan B. He couldn’t be more correct, the Red Sox are basically trying to unload 3/5 of their starting rotation (Felix started the year in the rotation) and if they also move Clay Buchholz, make it 4/5 (he’s the one starter I really won’t miss if he is moved).

Who’s going to start for the next year? One rumor has the Red Sox pursuing the Philidelphia Phillies Cole Hamels. I asked why not just re-sign Jon Lester? You know he can pitch in the American League East, and he’s a known quantity. And it won’t take any draft picks to sign him.

To echo Buster Olney, I really do hope they know what they’re doing.

Direction of the Team

Now that that Red Sox have acknowledge their circumstances, I think it important that John Farrell and management do everything in their power to embrace the young players and build their confidence.

An example of not doing this came Tuesday.  Jackie Bradley Jr. hasn’t hit to save his life this year but had, through Monday of this week, strung together a series of good at bats/games.  Why in heck would Farrell then bench him on Tuesday and break that string?  He came back to go 0-4 and then 1-3 in his next 2 games.  You never know with 100% certainty if the benching had anything to do with it, but if a player is gaining in confidence, why sit him and introduce a shred of doubt?  A small issue to be sure but an important one nevertheless.

Farrell obviously still wants to win and reinforce a winning attitude but he also needs to recognize the mentality of young players, especially a boatload of young players.  Time to let these youngsters strikeout of their own and stop pinch hitting for Xander Bogaerts late in games, let players play who are riding hot streaks,  do everything possible to show support for these kids.

Suddenly, watching the Red Sox has become fun again.

 

Hoist the White Flag

This is the earliest the Red Sox have given up on a season that I can remember.  The Nick Punto trade in 2012 happened in August and since the new ownership group and even back into the Dan Duquette era, the Red Sox were always sniffing at a playoff spot late into the season.

A.J. Pierzynski was DFAed today and Jake Peavy is rumored to be heading out of Boston.  These are moves of a team that has capitulated.  This also means the Red Sox are likely to deal Koji Uehara, Jonny Gomes, and maybe John Lackey (who is set to earn the major league minimum for veterans next season) as they might not want the headache of having a veteran playing for the minimum and publicly displaying his displeasure every pitch of the way.

Wednesday night’s game featured 5 rookies in the line-up, Jackie Bradley Jr. Brock Holt, Mookie Betts, Christian Vasquez (major league debut) and Xander Bogaerts and a rookie starting pitcher.  Unheard of in Boston but a very good thing for the future of the team.  I think perhaps Betts and Vasquez were brought up a bit early and risk being like the endless line of rookies the K.C. Royals rush to the big leagues, but otherwise this is valuable playing time for young players.

As a Red Sox fan, I am perfectly fine with a season like this.  A reload, a chance to give younger, future franchise players playing time is a good thing, as long as it isn’t happening every other year.  What begs the question is just what did management see in this team?  Did they think Pierzynski was going to be a major contributor?  Did the Red Sox really need to sign Stephen Drew for $10 million?  Obviously with hindsight, these both look like very dumb and very expensive moves, not that I pay the bills but we now can look forward to seeing the future of the Red Sox develop in front of our eyes, instead of in Pawtucket.

A quick scouting report on the young positional players:

Vasquez – Advanced defensively, with ability to handle a pitching staff and a very good arm.  His offense is a work in progress and doesn’t project to be much more than mediocre.

Betts – 4 tool player with potential to be a 4.5 to 5 tool player if his power rounds out and depending on where he settles on a position.  Command of the strike zone is top shelf.

Bradley Jr. – Elite defensively with good eye at the plate and 10-12 HR power projection.  Offense improved with with more time at each minor league level.  The hope is that he is getting ready to take off offensively.  His defense this year has been outstanding.

Holt – A career minor league average of .307 with a .410 OBP makes his 2014 success not a major surprise but is countered by the fact he is 26.  Old for a rookie but some players take longer to mature.  Defensively he isn’t great anywhere but has proven the ability to player anywhere with competence.  He’s played LF, CF, RF, 1B, SS and 3B this season year all the while hitting .313.  When Holt was included as an apparent throw-in in the Joel Hanrahan deal, I remember thinking there must be something wrong with this kid personality-wise as he had good minor league numbers.

Bogaerts – He was doing well until Stephen Drew arrived.  Seriously, the minute Drew was added to the 25-man roster, Bogaerts started slumping.  That also was when he was moved from SS to 3B.  He is only 21 and has a bright future ahead of him, but I wonder if the Red Sox will try to move Drew (is that possible with him hitting .131?) and give the SS position back to Bogaerts.

If the Red Sox can trade a few more assets for additional future growth and with their financial clout, they might just be gearing up for a prolonged run at success

 

Not Feeling It

Usually a Yankees-Red Sox series brings fires me up. After all, I created a website around it! But, its a bit harder to get fired up about this series. We have the third and fourth-place teams in the AL East meeting about halfway through the season. What happened to these two teams?

Well, I don’t think the Yankees are a big surprise right now. Before the season I predicted 85 wins and they are on pace for 84. I think the biggest worry you have to have as a Yankee fan right now is that the run differential, -34, indicates they should be much worse than they are. They’ve lost 3/5′s of their rotation and the offense has been mediocre. And, they may burn the bullpen out by August at this rate. Unless some big reinforcements are coming, I don’t think this team finishes above .500.

Boston is a bit more interesting. Dustin Pedroia is having a terrible year, I wouldn’t expect that to last. Xander Bogarts hasn’t lived up to the hype and Jackie Bradley has been awful. But, they have two very good starting pitchers in Lackey and Lester and a nice bullpen, so they could easily make a run.

But for now we have two mediocre teams facing off in late June. If the names on the front of the uniforms read something other than “Boston” or “New York” would we pay any attention?

Sizemore Wins

John Farrell announced today that Grady Sizemore has won the centerfield spot over Jackie Bradley Jr. Sizemore is slated to hit 5th or 6th in the line-up while Bradley Jr. will be taking buses to and from games in Pawtucket.

Sizemore was signed to a major league dealing meaning they had to either keep him or cut him (or trade him).

I said early in Spring Training that my preference was for Bradley Jr. to win the job and given today’s news I’m disappointed that Bradley Jr. (To be abbreviated as Bjr from here on out) won’t be with the club and that he’s had such a dreadful spring.

Trying to see a silver lining here, I hope Bjr gets his hacks in at Pawtucket and that perhaps later in the season he gets the call-up.

Sizemore’s accomplishments are amazing so far. His injury record is lousy and he’s really has been out of baseball for 2 years so his playing well and winning the job is a great story. That said, I think it a long shot that he stays healthy all year meaning Bjr could be in Boston before you know it.

Bjr is the future and it’d have been nice to have him in there with Bogaerts and Middlebrooks, 3 young and promising players.

Center Field in Boston

Unlike the Yankees, the Red Sox have a question mark in center field.  How did that happen?  Didn’t they have a really good center fielder last year?  Oh, that’s right…I remember what happened.

Rookie Jackie Bradley Jr, Shane Victorino and Grady Sizemore are vying for the starting nod.  Victorino will most likely start the season in right which really means Sizemore and Bradley are the candidates.

Sizemore hasn’t played since 2011 and hasn’t put in a full season, if you consider 106 games a full season, since 2009.  2 microfracture surgeries later and he is back in baseball.  When Sizemore was healthy, he was a high-impact player, a great combination of power and speed and could even draw a walk.  But, that was a long time ago.  At age 29 (turning 30 on July 21) I think he is a longshot to be a contributor of consequence this year.

Bradley, on the other hand, is 23 (turning 24 on April 19) and is just starting his major league career.  So far in the minors he has shown the ability to play excellent defense, get on base and be a 1-2 and maybe even a 3 hitter in a line-up.  His .404 minor league OBP and .876 OPS suggest he has much to offer in the majors, but until he does, it is just speculation.

My hope is that Bradley wins the job.  He is young, healthy and has significant upside.  While I hold no ill will towards Sizemore and I hope his career flourishes, he hasn’t provided anything in basically 4 seasons.  If Bradley can establish himself, the Red Sox have a fantastic defender playing center who is under team control for many seasons to come.  Obviously I hope Sizemore can contribute and heck, ideally has a boffo year.  But if he does, he is free to walk and will have proved to be just a one year help.  Bradley having a boffo year will give them an option in center for a least 6 years.  I’ll take the long-term success vs the short-term one.

Either way, the Sizemore signing was an intriguing one.  I like it and hope he can help.  Victorino will inevitably get hurt and the Red Sox will need help in right at some point.

Shut Up Guys

Brian Cashman once had a great quote along the lines of “nobody cares when millionaires fight”. Listening to Larry Lucchnio and Randy Levine go at it today reminded me of it.

Larry “I named them the Evil Empire” Lucchino got things started with this gem:

“We’re very different animals. I’m proud of that difference. I always cringe when people lump us together. Other baseball teams sometimes do that. They are still, this year at least, relying heavily on their inimitable old-fashioned Yankees style of high-priced, long-term free agents. And, uh, I can’t say that I wish them well, but I think that we’ve taken a different approach. … If you compare what we did last year in the offseason to what they did this year, there’s quite a contrast there.”

Two things come to mind when I read that.

1- Yes, there is a huge difference between the Red Sox 2012-13 offseason and the Yankees current one. BUT, take a look at the Red Sox 2010-11 offseason.

2- Where does he expect to find a receptive audience for these comments? Can you imagine being a Pirates’ fan and reading that?

Not to be outdone, Randy “I serve no purpose” Levine jumped into battle:

“I feel bad for Larry; he constantly sees ghosts and is spooked by the Yankees. But I can understand why, because under his and Bobby Valentine’s plan two years ago, the Red Sox were in last place. Ben Cherington and the Red Sox did a great job last year winning the World Series, but I’m confident Cash and Joe and our players will compete with a great Red Sox team to win a world championship this year.”

Way to take the high road Randy.

These are too men with too much money and too much ego. Just shut it fellas.

*****

Here’s an interesting/sad story about Jesus Montero showing up to Seattle camp 40 pounds overweight. Maybe Montero was a creation of PED’s and this is his way of surrendering, but the quote from the Seattle GM is damning-  “I have zero expectations for Jesus Montero. Any expectations I had are gone.” Ouch.

No Dempster

Ryan Dempster has announced he will not pitch in 2014 sighting a physical ailment and wanting to spend more time with family.

First the impact on the Red Sox. This greatly erodes the team’s pitching depth. Dempster wasn’t going to be counted on for 200 quality innings but as a spot starter and long relief option, he will be missed.

By putting him on the restricted list, the Sox needn’t pay his $14m salary. I don’t know of this frees up salary space under the cap or not but if is does it provides space to add pitching help.

As for his reasoning, it really seems he wants to spend more family time which is great. But if prefer he say that without adding the physical ailment part as, and I’m probably looking too much into this, but the physical part is minor, minor part of his rational.

Good luck to Dempster, from all accounts he is a good guy, unless you are Alex Rodriguez.