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Wow Was I Wrong

I have to admit, I thought Javy Vazquez Round 2 would be a success. Now, I wasn't expecting him to pitch like an ace, but I thought 200 innings of a low-4 ERA were a certainty. I ignored all the screams about his performance in 2004. I figured he would thrive in the non-pressurized role of a fourth starter and the Yankees would get exactly what they needed to round out the 2010 rotation. In short, I completely blew it.

Those of you who read this site know that I like to look at stats. I think statistics are one of the most important tools a GM can utilize when evaluating a team. On the other hand, I think some people go too far with them. My chief argument against the pure stats guys has always been that an offense made up of nine Ty Cobbs may be dominant on paper, but it would never get out of the dugout because they would all kill each other. A player's personality and attitude matter and you will never see that in a statistics report. It is probably the biggest challenge facing teams like the Yankees and Red Sox, they have to not only find good players, but they have to find good players who can handle the cauldron that is Northeast baseball. Clearly, Javier Vazquez isn't up to that. He lived down to the expectations of all the naysayers. I could not have been more wrong about him.

But, trading for Vazquez won't join the ranks of the worst trades in franchise history because it produced two other results that are vital to the 2010 Yankees and beyond. First, the trade sent Melky Cabrera to Atlanta. Melky has hit .258/.319/.357 in Atlanta, or just about what you expected him to do. His absence in New York gave Brett Gardner a shot at playing everyday and he rewarded the Yankees with a .278/.383/.381 year. One wonders how much better he would have been if he hadn't hurt his wrist at the end of June and it is worth noting he has hit .308/.357/.462 since he got a cortisone shot in that wrist last week. Gardner's development is one of the big success stories of 2010.

The second part of the trade is Boone Logan. Logan has turned into a great lefty specialist this year, holding LHB to a .508 OPS. He is exactly what this team needed and with Damaso Marte on the DL, his presence saved the Yankees from having to go out and trade for another lefty.

The Yankees will delete the Vazquez mistake in the offseason. You will read about how they declined to offer him arbitration and that will be that. Arodys Vizcaino, the prospect they traded for Vazquez, may turn out to be something down the road. He pitched well in low-A ball this year before struggling in high-A ball. But this won't be be remembered as the Jay Buhner trade. Despite Vazquez's struggles, the Yankees still have reasons to like the deal they made.

Comments

I was sure he would work out. He is a mystery to me.

I suppose that the mental aspect of the game is absolutely critical and that guys like Javy and Burnett can end up defeating themselves. Also, all those games in the AL East can certainly wear a guy down.

On A.J.: do you think it's possible he's tipping off his pitches. It seems like he fools nobody and that the hitters seem to know what's coming next. The pitches they hit may get a little too much of the plate or sometimes are too high, but they're still not awful pitches.

You weren't Robinson Crusoe on that (alone on an island). I was bullish as Texas on that trade. I thought he'd deliver, in fact, I was on this site telling everyone how much he'd deliver. Oh well, as you point out, not much lost.

Corey-

It's certainly possible, but AJ's stats are interesting to look at. He is striking out less than 7 guys per nine, his lowest rate since 2001 and a big drop from his 8.5 last year. And his fastball is over 1mph slower than 2009.

Thanks Tim, but I kind of feel like Gilligan at this point.


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