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Hankenstein to Sign All Free Agents

In what is probably more posturing than statement of fact, Hank Steinbrenner announced that the Yankees have indeed made an offer to CC Sabathia, but also plan on making offers to AJ Burnett and Derek Lowe.

Why does this matter?  It probably doesn't as even if the Yankees do offer all 3 contracts, it isn't likely all 3 will sign, but it would mean their prices all just went up.  Which brings me to this news item from Milwaukee Brewers GM Doug Melvin.

Melvin went public with his confusion behind the Yankees reported offer to Sabathia.  "It sounds like they're overbidding.  If the speculation is true that we've offered CC $100 million, why would you offer $140 million? Why wouldn't you offer $110 million?"

Good question Doug.  Obviously no one knows who bid what except Sabathia himself, but it doesn't make too much sense.  If the Yankees decide to put their best bid forward, fine, but I'd be surprised to see Sabathia sign the reported Yankee offer but rather a further enhanced offered later on.

I've wonder why this happens all the time.  Both Alex Rodriguez signings baffled me as it was reported that no other team was even close.  The Red Sox signings of JD Drew and Julio Lugo also stuck me as overdone.

While acknowledging that much of what we hear during negotiations as fans turns out to be rubbish, there are often nuggets of fact surrounding the dealings.

Free agency isn't eBay where you can automatically win a bid by hitting a certain price.  These are real world business dealings and it seems foolish to throw Ft. Knox at a player when a local bank would do.

Melvin does fail to mention one important thing, the Brewers offer is for 5 years and the Yankees for 6, but still, the Yankees offer is more in years and more in average annual compensation.  Why not just go with 6-years and $120mm?

Chew on that for a bit.

Red Sox notes:  The Boston Globe's Nick Cafardo is reporting that the Red Sox and Detroit Tigers are considering a Julio Lugo for Dontrelle Willis or Nate Robertson.  Lugo is in the middle of a 4 year, $36mm deal while Willis has 2 years left on a 3-year $29MM deal ($10mm in '09 and $12mm in '10).  Robertson is in the final of his 3-year, $21.25mm deal ($7mm in '09 and $10mm in '10).

Now Lugo wasn't good in 2008, but he wasn't terrible.  His .352 OBP has to count for something.  For the most part, it was an overly forgettable, injury shortened season for him.

As for Willis, where do I start?  He fell off the cliff he was so bad.  In the Majors, he was 0-2 with a 9.38 ERA in 24 IP.  He allowed 18 hits and 35 BB!!!  What?  35 BB in 24 IP?  He also pitched about 56 IP in the minors last year with a 4.50 ERA.  He was at class A Lakeland and AAA Toledo and allowed a 4.50 and 4.55 ERA respectively.  So even in the minors against A-ballers he was shaky.

I don't know if Willis has anything left, but if the Tigers take all of Lugo's salary, I'd say make the deal because the Red Sox seem to have settled on Jed Lowrie and taking a gamble on Willis and having it pay off is better than taking a gamble on Lugo and having it pay off.

As for Robertson, he too was bad.  He pitched 168 IP in the Majors with a 6.35 ERA, 218 H and 62 BB.  Simply miserable.  Robertson has never been as good as Willis, so I would say a Lugo for Robertson makes no sense as even if Robertson reverts to form, his form wasn't really good in the first place.

Makes you understand why the Tigers were do bad last year.

Lastly, ESPN has a report on Red Sox almost suspending Manny Ramirez a week before he was traded.  I'm tired of this story and can't wait for Manny to be someone else's problem.

Comments

He said that like three days ago and nobody in New York pays any attention to him anyway.

As for the Sabathia bid the reasoning is that CC wants reportedly prefers to stay in the NL and play on the West Coast. So, I think the Yankees are trying to scare the teams that meet that criteria away from bidding. It's called going for the knockout in the first round.

Peter, the "knockout" bid isn't going to be the final price, don't you think? A knockout bid is a take it or leave it, not a "take that other teams oh and here, take a little more...and some more."

I don't think it will be the final, but it will be close. The Yankees are trying to show everyone, especially CC, how serious they are. Personally, I have no problem with it.

There's another way to look at this, reminscent of the way Cashman acquired Damon: here's our best offer, it's good for X days after which time we have to move on to player B (Burnett) and C (Lowe, etc.). It can be a pretty effective way of getting a fast answer - and speed is needed here.

It also tends to screw up any follow on bids, if there are any, and that's (ahem) always a good, competitive thing to do. Gawd, it's good to think like a New Yawkah sometimes, ain't it?

And does anyone really believe that CC is going to get a deal that is not basically as rich as or richer than Santana's?

I disagree.

If the Dodgers ponied up right now with $120 for 6 years, I say he takes it and smiles all the way to the west coast, NL, and away from the AL east.

The best division in baseball should be a bear on it's pitchers next year as usual. Boston and New York could have very experienced and deep rotations with closers at the end that are lights out. Tampa is an aging young team that just gained tons of experience in crunch time. Toronto has Halloday. Each team has to face each other. Something about playing the Giants 19 times, the Padres 19 times and the Diamondbacks 19 times sounds better than the Yankees, Sox, Blue Jays.

Holding to my guns, as long as LA makes an offer that is rich (but below the Yankees) he should/will take it.

Bl

I totally agree and that is why I think the Yankees made the offer they did. Do they expect LA to go $120/6? I don't think so, but I bet they figured LA (and other teams) might go around $100 so they wanted to make sure they had a lot of distance between them and anyone else.

If CC stays in or around La La Land with the NL types, then at least we don't have to face him. I think money talks here. We'll see who is right.

Gammons over the weekend had an article on Sabathia and how it seemed he wasn't rushing into any decision. While time is of the essence, it sure doesn't seem to be weighing in on him.

I got the impression from Gammons that he is as interested in family lifestyle as he is the money. Now if he likes NY, no-brainer, but if not, who knows. It does appear that things will take a while longer to sort themselves out.

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