Wow
The Santana contract has been finalized and it is a stunner, $150 million over the next seven years. (they reworked his 2008 contract as part of it.) That is absolutely crazy money and besides the money, think of the length. Seven years is a long time to bet on a pitcher, even a pitcher of Santana's ability. The Mets certainly have the money, but whether or not they spent it wisely remains to be seen.
One thing is for sure, CC Sabathia is probably the happiest guy in the world right now.
Comments
I think it turned out to "only" be $137M
lol
anyway, your comment made me wonder, is it more dangerous to go 7 years on a quality pitcher or a quality hitter.
Who will miss more time on average?
Imagine ARods contract if he blows out a knee, missed most of a year or more, comes back as a fraction of himself (I know, even 80% of great is extremely good).
Wonder if anybody has research over last 20 years or something whether more top 10 contracts given out were shortened by injury , pitchers or hitters?
I have no idea where to go for that type of information.
Posted by: blmeanie
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February 3, 2008 02:48 PM
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BL-
Rob Neyer did a look at pitcher contracts that I think Andy linked to (Andy help me out here) awhile ago basically saying the definition of insanity is a long-term deal for a pitcher.
I know from a projection standpoint it is much, much easier to forecast a hitter. They tend to progress linearly and pitchers are much more scattered.
Posted by: Peter
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February 3, 2008 03:31 PM
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Peter, here is the link. http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/insider/columns/story?columnist=neyer_rob&id=3128891
It is only Scott Boros clients, so it really is not a valid argument. First off, I criticized the Neyer article b/c it was too shallow (10 case studies) and in this case, it is only Boras clients.
But I think there aren't a ton of good examples of long term contracts for pitchers. Pedro comes to mind of course (for Boston that is).
At the same time, long term deals in general are probably a bad idea. 3 years max would be my goal of I were a GM for pitcher or batter.
Posted by: andy
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February 3, 2008 08:15 PM
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