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Johan Santana a Yankee

That's my prediction anyway.

Johan Santana might be available later this off-season should the Twin fail to sign him to a long term deal. The Twins are opening a new park in 2009, so they probably want a marque pitcher to go along with their marque catcher in Joe Mauer.

That being said, should he become available, the Red Sox are likely to make a pitch. The pros: Santana is the best lefty in baseball if not the best pitcher in baseball. He is only 28 and in his prime. A lefty in Yankees Stadium is always a good thing. The cons: He will cost a ton to acquire. Even if he is acquired, it will take a ton of cash to sign him ($20mm a year for 6 years).

The larger question for the Red Sox is that in order to get him, we as fans are going to have to say goodbye to 2 or 3 top prospects. Not the Michael Bowden's or Aaron Bates', but the Jacoby Ellsbury's and/or Clay Buccholz's.

The Red Sox have worked hard to build up a farm system. Winning the 2007 World Series proved that not only have they worked hard at it, they've also succeeded with Dustin Pedroia, Jonathan Papelbon, Jacoby Ellsbury, Jon Lester and Manny Delcarmen contributing (Youkilis I believe was a draft choice of the Dan Duquette regime). With that in mind, they can choose to use the talent or trade the talent (or a little of both). Using the talent means costs are contained given the current salary structure for young players. But talent doesn't always translate into quality MLB performance, so trading unproven talent for proven talent generally yields better returns. Of course that isn't always true, but with a skilled front office, you'd hope that trading for a Johan Santana would help your squad, right?

If I'm the Red Sox front office, I make a pitch.. You have to. Coco Crisp is in no matter what as the Twins need a CF should they lose Torii Hunter. Then I offer either Jonathan Lester OR Clay Buccholz, but not both. Lastly, I top off the offer with prospect that is further away like a Justin Masterson or Nick Hagadone. If that isn't enough to get the job done, then see you later. That would mean a team like the Yankees would have to beat the Red Sox offer and it means they are giving up a Cano or Cabrera, Hughes OR Chamberlain and a Kennedy. Remember, they'd have to beat that offer, one would hope. I think Cano is a better talent than Crisp, so they have the edge there, but he doesn't play CF, not yet anyway.

I do not like the idea of having to face Johan 3-4 times each season should the Yankees land him. I believe at the end of the day he winds up a Yankees. Why? They are far less inclined to rebuild (see the $400mm they've committed this off-season so far) and probably have more pitching talent to trade than do the Red Sox. Plus, the Yankees starting pitching wasn't good last year and being able to plug in Santana for 225 IP would be a huge boost.

So there you have it and I'm not apologizing for the teaser title.

Comments

99.9% the Yankees are not trading Cano even for Santana.

Given the economics of the game, esp. with Hankenstein now writing the checks, I think it more probably that Santana becomes a Yankee as a FA signing in 2K9, assuming his arm doesn't fall off.

I think it's just a matter of time ...

The Yanks won't trade Hughes, or Joba or Cano. Santana will probably end up with whichever LA team doesn't get Cabrera. His only chance of being a Yankee is probably free agency.

Peter, 99.9% certain? Sources? (Both for the 99.9 and the 0.01 please).

Mitchell, the only problem with that is that the Twins might trade him first. The questions for teh Twins goes like this: Can we/they re-sign him? If not, then which is better A.) a package of prospects or B.) another team's first round pick and a comp pick? They will have to balance those 2 questions. Personally, I'd prefer the package of 2-3 advanced prospects as at least they have some track record. I just don't think he'll hit the open market.

Jon Heyman and numerous New York related sports outlets have said it for the 99.9.

The 0.1 is that I believe nothing is impossible.

REd Sox have decent prospects but unlike the Yankees they don't have three major league blue chips.

They have only Clay and maybe Lester who isn't in the Clay area.The Angels won't they just got Garland and the Dodgers want a big hitter not pitcher.And don't forget if the Red Sox do sign Santana they will be $175 million budget getting closer to the Yankees.


Ahhh....The Red Sox are finally what they hate.

Cano is better than Crisp? Really? :P

Hi Andy,

Yup, you're right about that problem. The Twins, not being stupid will certainly try to work a trade for the guy to get some value. My point is that the Yankess may not be willing to offer anything if they feel that they can get the guy for money only.

Were I Santana, I would let the trade happen (assuming I can't stop it under the terms of my contract), I would refuse to accept a contract extension, then on 10/31/08, I would call up the Tampa Boys and say the following: "Ola, I want to be a Yankee" then quietly watch them pick up their checkbook and write me a nice, big one. Oh yeah.

Yup, that's how I see that this could very well happen and what caused me to write that he "becomes a Yankee as a FA in 2K9" (meaning he first plays for us in 2K9).

Peter? It's absolutely, positively, universally impossible for Pavano to ever pitch for the Yankees again. Some things ARE impossible. :)

Happy holidays guys.

Thanks for the opening, Mitchell!

Happy Thanksgiving to all of you and your families.

Mitchell- Not before we read about 85 aborted comeback attempts next year. After all, the guy is going to be a free agent in 2K9!

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