Leave it to the Red Sox to make things interesting. Jerks.
With about 11 games left, the Red Sox hold a 3 1/2 game lead on the Yankees in the AL East. Their magic number is 9 (combo of Red Sox wins and Yankee losses needed to clinch the AL East). For those who think it possible the Red Sox lose the divisional title, fear not, they are 7 games up on the 2nd place wild card Detroit Tigers (which I think makes their playoff magic number 2).
But as predictable as cool weather in the fall, leaves falling on dewy grass and the delightful tanginess of warm apple cider, the Red Sox are blowing chunks late in the season. I'll give you delightful...
Manny has decided that September baseball games aren't as satisfying as September baseball practice. Kevin Youkilis is hurt and the pitching and offense seem out of whack. Other than that, things are great.
And picking up from my last post, JD Drew deserves closer examination. He has been getting on base and is on pace to score more runs this year than he did last year (85 vs. 78 so far this year). But check out some of these doosies:
Late and Close -
17(H)/54(AB), .286/.386/.356. Not bad you say? Well he has 2 RBI in those 54 at bats. So he is getting on base but hitting for no power and generating little run production.
2 out Runners in scoring position (RISP) -
14/71, .197/.400/.380. Another sub .400 slg stat but in this case with 18 RBI. Still not good overall. He needs to move runners along.
9th inning -
5/27 - .185/.333/.296, 0 RBI. Can you believe that? 0 RBI's in the 9th inning all year?!?
Clearly he has been a disaster, but get used to Drew as his contract means he will play and start next year. Things can only get better though and many talented players have struggled year 1 in Boston or New York (think Carlos Beltran). There is hope, just maybe not this year.
Another scary development (a development suggests a recent trend, but his is more of a season long trend) is Jason Varitek's strikeouts. He has 114 so far. He has always struck out often, but unlike 2004 when he K'd 126 times, he isn't hitting for power or average. He has a .296/.390/.482 in 2004 and has a .251/.357/.394 in 2007. He has 13 doubles all season. The next worse double output on the team amongst starters is 27 (Drew and Crisp).
I've pointed out nothing but worries, but that's because the Red Sox are losing ground in the standings. They do have some positives to point to. Jacoby Ellsbury, Mike Lowell, Dustin Pedroia, Julio Lugo (.296/.331/.411 in the 2nd half), David Ortiz in the 2nd half, Josh Beckett and his 19 wins, Manny Delcarmen and Jonathan Papelbon.
The Red Sox remain a very talented team, but they need to fix a few things and get a few people healthy.
A few notes on Terry Francona. He has been great and I'm glad he is the Red Sox manager, but he needs to acknowledge and accept the fact that both Hideki Okajima and Daisuke Matsuzaka are tired. He did take one step in giving Matsuzaka an extra 3 days off before his next start, but he needs to mothball Okajima for a 3-4 days to allowing him to A.) rest up and become effective again and B.) prepare him for what hopefully will be an extended playoff run. It's one thing if Okajima was tired but still pitching well and Francona kept trotting him out there, but he is tired and pitching very poorly (5.06 ERA in August and 11.57 thus far in Sept) yet Francona is still trotting him out there. He's an Okajima addict. 12 steps Terry, 12 steps.
Line-ups aren't in yet, but don't expect Youkilis and Manny. Tonight is Lester vs Burnett.