The Halfway Mark

Tonight the Yankees play their 81st game, meaning the season is half over. They are on pace to win 87 games, a bit higher than I would have thought in March, but a bit lower than I would have thought a few weeks ago. That’s because the Yankees played their first sixty games 37-23 and the next twenty, 6-14. And that’s the enormous challenge facing this club. What should they do, if anything, to fortify the team for a possible pennant race?

If you say they should fix the root causes of the 6-14 stretch, then the answer is, get more pitching. The Yankees have a team ERA of 4.96 in that stretch while the offense has averaged 5-runs per game.

If you focus on the entire first half, you would say, first base, third base, Tanaka, and the bullpen. Let’s dive into each of those.

First is clearly a disaster. Bird may be the second coming of Nick Johnson and Carter has been terrible in relief of him. Tyler Austin is on the DL, and the farm system doesn’t have much else in the way of help at first. The luxury rental is Eric Hosmer, and I don’t think the Yankees are there yet, but if they stick close to first over the next four weeks, I wouldn’t bet against it.

Third is a simple equation. The Yankees will tolerate Chase Headley until they feel that Andujar is ready to play defense at a major-league level. Barring an injury to either, that won’t change.

Tanaka is simply not going to be removed from the rotation. The Yankees are praying at this point that he can turn things around enough to opt-out of his deal after the season. If he can’t, the Yankees are stuck with him for three more years. Either way, he will be in the rotation as long as he is healthy this season.

And that brings us to the bullpen, and this is an area the Yankees will wait and see on. Before Warren got hurt, things we’re going well. Betances has been bad lately, but overall has been brilliant. Clippard is a mess, but Warren’s return will minimize him. Chad Green has looked good out of the pen, but needs to get thrown into some high leverage situations to see what happens.

The season has been a huge success overall. Judge has shown he can be a great player. Hicks took a huge step forward. Montgomery and Severino look to be rotation pieces for the future. A lot of other prospects have taken big steps forward and the future looks really good. The next four weeks will show how close that future is.