The Crystal Ball

The Yankees and Rays open the MLB season in less than 48 hours, so it is time for me to make my annual predictions.

AL East
1-Boston
I liked them a lot more before Price came down with elbow problems because I think Sale is going to have a tough transition to Boston and Price’s absence will only heighten the pressure. Still, they have the most talent in the division. I think they squeak out the AL East with 89 wins.

2-Toronto
They will be right on Boston’s heels, but ultimately fall just short. I still think they get a wild card spot

3-Yankees
I will go into this more tomorrow, but I have them 3rd and missing the playoffs.

4-Baltimore
I think the East will be the most competitive division in baseball and the Orioles will be above .500.

5-Tampa
It’s too big a leap for me to consider them anywhere else than last.

AL Central
1-Cleveland
Clearly the class of their division by a lot. Probably the easiest path to the playoffs in the game,
2-Kansas City
I think Jorge Soler has a big year, but they aren’t going to challenge Cleveland.
3-Minnesota
This is a team that I think can surprise a lot of people with some young bats. Byron Buxto and Miguel Sano will form the core of a new emerging power in the division.
4-Detroit
I just don’t see a lot to like on the Tigers and I only picked them 4th because of the reality of the 5th team in the division.
5-Chicago
Full rebuild on the South Side and if they get good performances from players they will trade them at the deadline.

AL West
1-Houston
They dwelled at the bottom of the league for a long time, but all of those top draft picks are rounding into form. Also added some solid veteran presence with McCann and Beltran. The best team in the AL.
2-Texas
Still very good, but a step behind the Astros. I think they earn the other wild card.
3-Anaheim
It is a shame that Mike Trout has to languish on a so-so team.
4-Seattle
Felix Hernandez worries me. There are a lot of innings on that arm. I also don’t think Cano repeats last year’s success.

Playoffs
Toronto over Texas in wild card game
Houston over Boston in ALDS
Cleveland over Toronto in ALDS
Houston over Cleveland in ALCS

NL East
1-Washington
I love the Mets rotation, and I worry about Strasbourg, but the Nats edge them out in the end,
2-Mets
Thor may be the best pitcher in the game outside of Kershaw and they have plenty behind him even with Matt’s elbow woes. Look for Zach Wheeler to make a successful return from TJ surgery. They get a wild card.
3-Philadelphia
I think they have a lot of young talent and they play competitive baseball until the end.
4-Atlanta
New stadium and a lot of young guys. They will be back in the middle of things soon.
5-Miami
My pick for the biggest disappointment in the league.

NL Central
1-Cubs
The class of MLB and plenty of youth to stay that way for awhile.
2-Pittsburgh
I think they edge out the Cards for this spot.
3-St. Louis
Always solid if not spectacular.
4-Cincinnati
I think this is the year Billy Hamilton steals 100 bases.
5-Milwaukee
I think Johnathan Villar won’t be far behind Hamilton.

NL West
1-LA
That is one tough rotation and they have Saeger at short for the next 15 years.
2-San Francisco
Good enough for a wild card, but not the division. I think Matt Moore really enjoys his first full year in the NL.
3-Colorado
Lots of nice talent and I think the Desmond signing works. Keep an eye on Jon Grey.
4-Arizona
I think they edge out San Diego for 4th.
5-San Diego
Not really sure what they are doing, but they are the only game in town with the exodus of the Chargers, so hopefully the fans come out.

PLAYOFFS
Mets over Giants in wild card
Dodgers over Nats in NLDS
Cubs over Mets in NLDS
Cubs over Dodgers in NLCS

And Cubs over Astros in the World Series. After all they won back-to-back in 1907 and 1908, so why not again?