Wishful Thinking

Alex Rodriguez announced today that he will retire after he finishes his current contract which means he is going to play two more seasons. I’m trying to stop laughing.

I will be the first to admit that Alex surprised me and surpassed all of my most optimistic expectations last season. I didn’t think he would come close to hitting 25 homers, let alone 33. I also didn’t think he would behave and not cause problems. It was truly a miraculous season.

So it won’t come as a surprise that I don’t think he is going to repeat it. I disagree with the people who say he is finished and point to his second half numbers in 2015 (.216/.324/.448) but I do think those numbers are more indicative of what will happen in 2016 than his first half of .278/.382/.515. His seven homers in September lead me to believe he can still be somewhat of a force, but I suspect time will continue to wither him as it does to all of us.

But no matter what he does in 2016, there is still 2017 and the fact that he will be 42 when his contract ends. Considering all that has happened with him off the field, and that he is only a DH on it, does he really think he will be in demand when that season ends? And, considering how the Yankees have turned to a youth movement and don’t want a full-time DH, I can’t see them offering him a contract in 2018 no matter what he does between now and then. This is clearly Alex’s attempt to bow out with some dignity. That’s his right, but considering his prior behavior, it is not something he is necessarily entitled to.