The Yankees had eight arbitration cases and they settled all of them. From Chasen Shreve getting 800k to Didi getting ten-times that, the payroll is ow set. The final number is a little over $20-million under the luxury tax threshold.

So what happens now? Barring another trade of salary, the Yankees probably only want to spend a portion of that figure. They will want to leave room for possible in-season trades. That probably means they won’t be players for any of the big name free agents. Remember that it is the annual average value of a contract that is used for luxury tax calculations, so signing a player and backloading the contract doesn’t make a difference. I suspect it will allow Todd Frazier to return on a one-year deal if he is agreeable to that.

Five Weeks

After two weeks of brutal cold here in the Northeast, I hope it warms you a bit to know that we are just thirty-five days away from pitchers and catchers starting their workouts. And that should mean the “hot”stove will finally switch on and all these free agents will find homes, right? I wouldn’t count on it.

While I remember years where top free agents waited until the new year to sign, I can’t remember a year with so many unsigned in January. It depends which list you use, but generally out of the top-50 free agents, less than 20 have been signed at this point. Technically, the biggest contract in dollars was Justin Upton who chose not to opt-out of his current four-year/$88-million deal with the addition of one year at $18-million. It counts as an $106-million deal, but really isn’t. Carlos Sanatan’s three-year/$60-million deal with the Phillies is currently the biggest in dollars and AAV.

At this point, management has time on its side. Smart teams are going to wait and see if the market will come to them. I suspect guys like Hosmer will still get big paydays, but a lot of guys are going to have to scramble to find a job and take one-year deals.

For the Yankees, patience is perfect. There is no point in giving up prospects for a starting pitcher when there are many pitchers out there on the market. Likewise, it make sense to watch the infield market and see if a one-year bargain falls in your lap before spring training. The only trade I would want to see them make at this time would be a salary dump of Ellsbury. If the market suddenly picks up, go back to discussing trades, but don’t give up three good prospects for Gerrit Cole.

CC’s Coming Back

The Yankees have agreed to a one-year deal with CC Sabathia for $10-million. There are apparently some performance bonuses available on top of that.

This makes a ton of sense for the Yankees, and I hope they don’t stop there. Severino threw a lot of innings last year. Montgomery did as well. Tanaka has his partial UCL tear. Adding one more arm would make a lot of sense unless the Yankees are positive that Chance Adams is ready.

A Salary Dump

The Yankees have traded Chase Headley and Bryan Mitchell to San Diego for Jabari Blash. Blash is a big righty outfielder who is 27 and has an astounding 100 strikeouts in 265 big league at bats. I would be shocked if he stayed on the Yankees roster for any length of time.

This trade is clearly about getting out from the remaining year on Headley’s contract and freeing up $13-million. What’s really interesting about it is that it signals another move is coming. Before this trade, the Yankees probably had about $14-million in room under the luxury tax threshold. They’ve now doubled that. I bet we find out why they did that fairly soon.

Marvin Miller Screwed Again

MLB just announced that Allan Trammel and Jack Morris are going into the Hall of Fame. That’s great and rights an injustice, but I can’t understand how Marvin Miller was snubbed again.

Two of the worst commissioners in the game, Bud Selig and Bowie Kuhn are in the HOF. Racists are in the HOF. Steroid users are in the HOF. But the guy who created the modern salary system isn’t. That’s a joke.

At this point the only way Miller gets in is if a player forces the issue. Imagine how quickly Miller would be in if someone like Mariano Rivera refused to participate in the induction ceremonies because Miller wasn’t a member of the Club.

I don’t think any player will ever take that stand and that’s too bad. Miller has to be in the Hall of Fame, or it is simply an exercise in favoritism.

Can a Trade be Good and Dumb?

Adding Giancarlo Stanton to the Yankees for Starlin Castro and two guys a long ways away from the majors is an insult to baseball. It is ridiculous that the Yankees gave up so little for the reigning MVP and MLB should be ashamed for allowing the new ownership in Miami buy a team that they clearly couldn’t afford. The Marlins have esssnetially given away the face of their franchise for the salary relief it provides them. If the fans of Miami never attend another Marlins game, no one should blame them. No one should ever dare to criticize those fans for whatever support they give in the future. They have been completely betrayed by their ownership.

But while this is an absolute steal talent-wise for the Yankees, it’s not necessarily a smart deal. Here are my three concerns.

1- Can Stanton handle New York? This is the biggest mystery to me in this trade. He grew up in the LA area, so he has seen big media markets up close, but playing in Miami and playing in NY is night and day.

2- Who is in right? Judge is a better outfielder according to advanced stats, so he should stay. Does that mean Stanton is left? And if so, what happens to Gardner?

3-Does this mean financial restraints are done? The amazing thing is that thanks to the way the luxury tax is calculated, this only adds $13.5-million to the payroll for next year meaning they can still easily go below the $197-million threshold. But, it is a ten-year commitment for big money. The Yankees simply can’t go back to that model with multiple players. This contract they can absolutely handle, but it can’t become the norm.

I suspect Brian Cashman looked at it this way. This trade allows him to do two huge things.

1- Add a major name who will sell tickets at a much lower price than someone like Bryce Harper will cost next offseason.

2- Clear a path for their top prospect to hit his way onto the team Opening Day.

We can’t discount either one of those. The Yankees charge premium prices for their seats and they need stars to fill them. Judge looks like one, so does Sanchez, but Stanton already is one. That’s a business consideration you have to factor into this.

Now Gleybar Torres has a clear path to the bigs, but the Yankees also have other choices in Torreyes and Wade starting there if he isn’t ready yet. It also makes me think that the Yankees really like Andujar as his path to third base just became very clear.

So I get their thinking and I see the value, I just don’t agree with the move. I know it’s a steal, but it’s unecessary. We also don’t know if Stanton is ready to handle New York and it is a huge financial commitment to make. Just because something is a bargain doesn’t mean you have to buy it.


The Yankees and Marlins have apparently agreed on a trade for Giancarlo Stanton. Details are scarce, but it is being reported that Starlin Castro and “low level” prospects will be going back to Miami.

It’s hard to evaluate a trade when you don’t know all the pieces involved, so I won’t attempt to. But there are a few things we can say generally.

1- This trade clearly doesn’t need address a problem. The Yankees already had major righty power in their lineup. They also had a pretty good rightfielder. And I’m not sure that Stanton will automatically waive his no-trade clause when the Yankees can’t play him in right every game.

2- No matter what the final package ends up being, this will be compared to the A-Rod trade. It is worth remembering two things about that trade. Before he opted out, A-Rod was exactly as advertised a killer on the field. The Yankees have no regrets about the first four years of that deal, the mistake was chasing him after he opted out. Stanton can opt out after 2020.

3- South Florida fans deserve better. How does MLB allow an ownership group buy a team they can’t afford to run?

I’ll update or post again as more news comes out.

12PM Update- Stanton is reportedly on his way to NY, so he probably is waiving his no-trade clause.

12:30PM Update- Ken Rosenthal reports the Yankees will assume $265-million of the remaining $295 left on Stanton’s salary.

1PM Update- Joel Sherman reports the trade is Castro, Jorge Guzman, and Jose Denver’s, for Stanton and $30-million, if Stanton doesn’t opt out. Guzman was acquired in the McCann trade while Devers is 18 and has a cousin Red Sox fans may be familiar with. In other words, this is a negligible cost in prospects.

1:10 Update- I’m not sure how the conditional $30-million payment works for the luxury tax, but Stanton costs $25-million towards it while Castro costs about $8.5, so the Yankees add a net of $16.5-million to the 2018 payroll.

The Yankees Are Out on Ohtani!

Multiple reports have come out that Shohei Ohtani’s reps have told the Yankees they are not going to sign their client. In fact, they won’t even meet with the team. From what I am reading, it sounds like his preference is to sign with a west coast team, ideally in a smaller market. That probably means Seattle and San Diego are favorites now.

I am shocked he wouldn’t even want to meet with the Yankees, but this whole process is a mystery. Ohtani is giving up millions by making this move now. Obviously, he has an idea where he wants to go and it is not New York.

UPDATE- Just read more reports that the Twins are out, and it sounds like every team east of Minnesota is out as well. Seattle and San Francisco are said to be finalists, but other teams may be in the mix.

UPDATE 6:38pm- Ken Rosenthal reports the A’s are out too.


According to about every source out there, Aaron Boone is the new Yankee manager.

I don’t get it. He hit an enormous homer. He blew out his knee in a pickup basketball game that led to the A-Rod era. He’s been a pretty good analyst since he retired from playing at ESPN. How does that qualify him for this job?

I don’t think it does and I don’t understand why Brian Cashman would take this risk. It’s like being the owner of a fancy car and handing the keys to a sixteen year-old to take it out for a spin.

But what I think this move shows us is how much the game has changed in the last ten years. Computers make a lot of the decisions managers used to make. Teams don’t hire guys for their baseball instincts, but rather for their ability to use advanced statistics and manage a clubhouse. That doesn’t make this a great choice, but it partially explains it. If you watched Boone on ESPN, he is conversant in advanced statistics and very personable, so he checked those two “New” boxes.

But the fact remains that he has zero coaching experience. The Yankees will enter 2018 with huge expectations and if they get off to a slow start, look out. But beyond that, is Boone ready to spend nine months a year working almost every day and being under a microscope? I’m not sure anyone knows and that is the part of this I don’t get. We may look back on this in a few years as a brilliant move by Cashman, but right now it looks like a huge gamble.

The Final Six

Brian Cashman announced today that the Yankees have finished managerial interviews and that one of the six they have met with will be the next Yankee manager. Let’s go through the candidates.

1-Carlos Beltran- Beltran is a respected leader and former Yankee who personally mentored some of the players in the locker room. But, he has zero experience. i suspect that if he isn’t named manager he will be a coach or member of the organization in some role.

2- Aaron Boone- Another former Yankee with zero experience. I think his chances took a hit this week when his brother inexplicably made fun of the idea of sexual harassment.

3- Hensley Meulens- Another former Yankee with a lot of experience, he has been a coach in various systems for over ten years, the last seven as the hitting coach for the Giants. He speaks five languages, including Japanese, and has one of my favorite nicknames ever, “Bam Bam”.

4- Rob Thompson- The comfortable choice as he has been in the organization for years and was the bench coach.

5- Eric Wedge- Has over 1,600 games of managerial experience, but with a sub-.500 record. I would be shocked if he got the job.

6- Chris Woodward- Was a Yankee for one spring training and has worked as a coach for both Seattle and LA.

I would expect we find out an answer next week before the winter meetings start December 10th.